← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–5 on winners
spread MAE 12.3
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Texas
@
Villanova
|
+4.9 | 128.5 | 67% | 61–84 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+5.2 | 144.4 | 68% | 80–70 | ✗ |
Stetson
@
Bowling Green
|
+8.4 | 153.0 | 78% | 53–52 | ✗ |
Oregon
@
Iowa
|
+6.7 | 156.1 | 73% | 95–80 | ✗ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Bryant
|
+3.3 | 155.5 | 62% | 93–82 | ✗ |
Oklahoma
@
Gonzaga
|
+13.3 | 161.6 | 89% | 71–87 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
UCLA
|
+2.7 | 136.7 | 60% | 47–67 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
Pepperdine
|
+7.8 | 143.1 | 76% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Creighton
|
+6.7 | 152.7 | 73% | 58–72 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Michigan
|
+4.9 | 155.2 | 67% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Florida State
|
-1.9 | 146.2 | 43% | 53–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.