Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1600 OU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -13.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -11.8 (+4.2) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -10.2 (+5.8) | 154.8 (+3.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -12.1 (+3.9) | 156.8 (+1.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -13.3 (+2.7) | 154.0 (+4.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | GONZ 83 – 68 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 9-8 |
| Home | 12-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 25.4 (#1) | 12.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.49 (#1) | 2.32 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.13 (#1) | 2.67 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#1) | 0.578 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.