Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -750 OU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -24.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GONZ -15.3 (-0.3) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -17.3 (-2.3) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -15.7 (-0.7) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2021 | GONZ 87 – 71 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-0 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#10) | 3.6 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#135) | 0.23 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#124) | 0.27 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | 0.250 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.6% | 55.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 56.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 2.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 63.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 55.9% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 10.6% |
Game Analysis
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