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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 14.6
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellarmine
@
Army
|
+2.0 | 138.7 | 57% | 77–67 | ✗ |
Maryland
@
Alabama
|
+5.3 | 140.1 | 68% | 77–96 | ✓ |
USC
@
Kansas
|
-2.2 | 136.8 | 42% | 85–51 | ✓ |
Stetson
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+5.8 | 145.8 | 70% | 72–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.