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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–4 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
@
Alabama
|
+12.8 | 156.3 | 87% | 87–80 | ✗ |
Alcorn State
@
Howard
|
+3.3 | 139.7 | 75% | 64–72 | ✓ |
Le Moyne
@
Massachusetts
|
+9.4 | 139.7 | 87% | 80–94 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Seton Hall
|
— | — | — | 58–70 | — |
UMass Lowell
@
Columbia
|
+20.4 | 137.1 | 90% | 72–86 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
Grambling
|
-0.4 | 144.5 | 50% | 70–75 | ✗ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Wichita State
|
— | — | — | 74–95 | — |
Florida International
@
LSU
|
— | — | — | 81–98 | — |
Green Bay
@
St. Thomas-Minnesota
|
+6.3 | 140.4 | 71% | 61–80 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Houston Christian
|
— | — | — | 61–72 | — |
Charleston Southern
@
Alabama A&M
|
— | — | — | 64–68 | — |
California
@
Kansas State
|
+7.4 | 145.6 | 77% | 96–99 | ✓ |
Central Michigan
@
Coppin State
|
-9.3 | 136.2 | 19% | 82–59 | ✓ |
Lehigh
@
Rutgers
|
+16.5 | 130.8 | 90% | 72–84 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Eastern Michigan
|
+10.4 | 155.4 | 86% | 90–83 | ✗ |
Lindenwood
@
Charleston Southern
|
+12.0 | 149.9 | 86% | 83–77 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.