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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–0 on winners
spread MAE 4.7
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville
@
South Carolina State
|
+0.9 | 146.9 | 48% | 85–86 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Robert Morris
|
-4.7 | 143.6 | 33% | 73–69 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Pennsylvania
|
+5.2 | 150.3 | 73% | 68–78 | ✓ |
Columbia
@
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
-1.5 | 153.0 | 44% | 87–83 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Quinnipiac
|
-0.7 | 146.0 | 47% | 73–66 | ✓ |
Stonehill
@
New Hampshire
|
+14.7 | 153.3 | 89% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Samford
|
+17.1 | 156.9 | 89% | 91–118 | ✓ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Gonzaga
|
+27.1 | 137.5 | 91% | 40–78 | ✓ |
Utah Tech
@
Cal State Northridge
|
+1.4 | 143.3 | 63% | 75–80 | ✓ |
New Orleans
@
San Francisco
|
+19.9 | 143.7 | 90% | 72–85 | ✓ |
Long Island University
@
UMass Lowell
|
+20.4 | 148.7 | 90% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Seton Hall
|
+11.1 | 143.5 | 85% | 61–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.