And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
UPMC Events Center · December 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -4.5 Home covered
O/U 143.0 Under
Money RMU +170 / DEL -205
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual DEL +4 142 Lost
Massey DEL -6.0 (+2.0)
Massey Totals 146.1 (-4.1)
Bradley-Terry 15%
Weighted B-T 5%
Baseline Plus ML DEL -4.2 (+0.2) 145.3 (-3.3) 34%
Baseline ML DEL -4.2 (+0.2) 145.9 (-3.9) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -3.4 (-0.6) 145.2 (-3.2) 33%
Efficiency Plus ML DEL -4.7 (+0.7) 143.6 (-1.6) 33%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2024 DEL 8177 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU DEL
Overall 10-22 19-14
Conference 6-14 10-8
Home 7-9 8-5
Away 3-13 8-6
Neutral 0-0 3-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 72.3
Avg Pts Against 77.4 69.7
Massey -5.5 (#274) 5.4 (#90)
Bradley-Terry -1.68 (#305) 1.09 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.11 (#302) 2.00 (#66)
RPI 0.396 (#319) 0.564 (#85)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU DEL
FG% 42.0% 45.5%
3PT% 28.3% 35.4%
REB / G 31.0 35.4
OREB / G 10.1 10.0
AST / TO 0.82 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 51.6%
TOV% 20.3% 15.1%
ORB% 27.9% 29.0%
FT Rate 23.1% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 16.9%
DRB% 66.5% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 20.6%

Game Analysis

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