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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–4 on winners
spread MAE 12.4
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Texas
@
Villanova
|
+4.1 | 124.0 | 65% | 61–84 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+3.4 | 141.9 | 56% | 80–70 | ✗ |
Stetson
@
Bowling Green
|
+5.4 | 146.3 | 70% | 53–52 | ✗ |
Oregon
@
Iowa
|
+4.4 | 141.9 | 68% | 95–80 | ✗ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Bryant
|
-0.2 | 151.1 | 49% | 93–82 | ✓ |
Oklahoma
@
Gonzaga
|
+10.2 | 154.8 | 80% | 71–87 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
UCLA
|
+1.7 | 131.3 | 55% | 47–67 | ✓ |
Longwood
@
Pepperdine
|
+5.3 | 140.0 | 72% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Creighton
|
+4.4 | 146.1 | 64% | 58–72 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Michigan
|
+2.1 | 148.6 | 60% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Florida State
|
-0.9 | 133.7 | 40% | 53–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.