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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–5 on winners
spread MAE 9.0
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Norfolk State
@
Gonzaga
|
+16.2 | 153.3 | 86% | 55–98 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
BYU
|
+1.2 | 139.6 | 51% | 73–62 | ✗ |
VCU
@
Oregon
|
+2.2 | 131.9 | 63% | 0–1 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Texas
|
+3.9 | 133.9 | 60% | 53–52 | ✗ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Illinois
|
+4.3 | 131.4 | 62% | 71–58 | ✗ |
Wisconsin
@
Baylor
|
+6.0 | 137.1 | 74% | 63–76 | ✓ |
Syracuse
@
West Virginia
|
+2.2 | 149.2 | 54% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Texas Tech
@
Arkansas
|
+1.3 | 139.2 | 58% | 66–68 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Houston
|
+7.5 | 129.7 | 79% | 60–63 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Florida
|
+7.3 | 150.3 | 75% | 81–78 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.