Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–4 on winners spread MAE 6.2 12 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Illinois +9.1 150.8 83% 55–76 ✓
Liberty @ Nevada +8.7 145.8 79% 63–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nebraska -0.7 144.3 51% 72–74 ✗
High Point @ Arkansas +11.8 166.5 85% 88–94 ✓
Miami @ Purdue +7.3 147.4 79% 69–79 ✓
Kentucky @ Iowa State +8.5 145.1 80% 63–82 ✓
Illinois State @ Wake Forest +6.6 142.0 74% 78–75 ✗
St. John's @ Kansas -1.6 139.6 43% 67–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Virginia +1.7 137.7 60% 79–72 ✗
Seattle U @ Auburn +12.1 139.5 87% 85–91 ✓
UNLV @ Tulsa +9.1 162.4 80% 66–77 ✓
Iowa @ Florida +11.3 141.9 85% 73–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.