← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 14.5
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida
|
+22.5 | 150.1 | 90% | 55–114 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Kansas
|
+14.5 | 135.5 | 86% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Miami
|
+4.8 | 145.9 | 67% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Furman
@
UConn
|
+21.8 | 134.1 | 90% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Michigan
|
+11.5 | 157.3 | 86% | 72–95 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Michigan State
|
+1.3 | 149.5 | 60% | 69–77 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Duke
|
+15.0 | 137.8 | 87% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+10.7 | 141.9 | 83% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+0.3 | 134.8 | 51% | 80–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Gonzaga
|
+10.2 | 144.1 | 83% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.