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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 15.7
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
George Washington
@
New Mexico
|
+7.6 | 155.7 | 78% | 61–86 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Arizona
|
+12.7 | 149.6 | 86% | 66–78 | ✓ |
Wichita State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+5.2 | 154.8 | 71% | 96–70 | ✗ |
Saint Joseph's
@
California
|
+8.3 | 141.9 | 78% | 76–75 | ✗ |
UCLA
@
UConn
|
+5.0 | 137.4 | 73% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Texas Tech
@
Alabama
|
+0.4 | 165.4 | 54% | 65–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.