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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–5 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UCLA
@
Washington
|
-9.0 | 140.9 | 20% | 74–49 | ✓ |
Ohio State
@
Northwestern
|
+0.5 | 135.3 | 54% | 73–57 | ✗ |
Rider
@
Niagara
|
+2.2 | 129.8 | 61% | 59–61 | ✓ |
Holy Cross
@
Navy
|
+11.7 | 138.2 | 87% | 74–63 | ✗ |
Boston University
@
Bucknell
|
+2.4 | 139.1 | 61% | 69–61 | ✗ |
Colgate
@
Lehigh
|
-8.4 | 154.5 | 23% | 76–60 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
American University
|
+11.5 | 130.2 | 86% | 55–71 | ✓ |
Wright State
@
IU Indianapolis
|
-7.9 | 139.7 | 20% | 82–68 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
Canisius
|
+0.6 | 137.8 | 53% | 64–60 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Alcorn State
|
+5.2 | 146.0 | 71% | 67–66 | ✗ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Alabama State
|
+4.0 | 133.7 | 68% | 61–70 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Kennesaw State
|
+4.8 | 139.2 | 71% | 75–79 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.