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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern State
@
Texas A&M
|
+8.2 | 149.2 | 76% | 52–64 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Notre Dame
|
+2.5 | 133.0 | 55% | 43–59 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Texas
|
+23.2 | 143.4 | 91% | 72–97 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Marquette
|
+9.0 | 145.4 | 81% | 69–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Texas Tech
|
+24.5 | 152.5 | 91% | 71–110 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Columbia
|
+0.3 | 135.0 | 51% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Tennessee
@
Ole Miss
|
-9.1 | 128.8 | 18% | 63–59 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
TCU
|
+19.6 | 150.6 | 90% | 57–103 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Monmouth
|
-13.8 | 139.0 | 14% | 68–55 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Virginia
|
+21.2 | 134.0 | 90% | 46–66 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
UConn
|
+16.7 | 144.7 | 90% | 66–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.