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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lehigh
@
Wisconsin
|
+18.9 | 138.0 | 90% | 56–78 | ✓ |
Stony Brook
@
Wagner
|
+10.7 | 133.7 | 86% | 55–58 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Middle Tennessee
|
+6.8 | 144.5 | 76% | 82–73 | ✗ |
Louisiana
@
McNeese
|
-7.9 | 143.8 | 19% | 78–70 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Nicholls
|
+0.9 | 152.2 | 55% | 73–88 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Colorado
|
+17.5 | 151.5 | 90% | 60–84 | ✓ |
UC Irvine
@
Santa Clara
|
+0.6 | 144.2 | 53% | 74–86 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Oregon State
|
-2.3 | 138.1 | 36% | 58–73 | ✗ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Incarnate Word
|
+3.7 | 136.5 | 65% | 65–77 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Georgetown
|
-9.2 | 159.3 | 18% | 102–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.