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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–2 on winners spread MAE 3.9 12 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jacksonville @ South Carolina State -0.5 147.9 50% 85–86 ✗
Delaware @ Robert Morris -4.2 145.9 38% 73–69 ✓
Howard @ Pennsylvania +5.1 155.1 72% 68–78 ✓
Columbia @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.6 151.3 41% 87–83 ✓
Yale @ Quinnipiac +0.8 148.7 60% 73–66 ✗
Stonehill @ New Hampshire +17.1 150.8 90% 62–75 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Samford +18.8 153.4 90% 91–118 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Gonzaga +36.6 137.4 91% 40–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ Cal State Northridge +3.0 141.8 67% 75–80 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ San Francisco +19.9 142.5 90% 72–85 ✓
Long Island University @ UMass Lowell +17.7 146.9 90% 65–78 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +6.3 142.4 75% 61–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.