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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colgate
@
Army
|
-1.5 | 157.2 | 40% | 77–75 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Robert Morris
|
+13.7 | 135.0 | 88% | 70–77 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Coppin State
|
-2.5 | 159.1 | 31% | 64–59 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
+3.6 | 136.8 | 62% | 73–82 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Delaware State
|
-9.6 | 137.5 | 20% | 78–65 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
New Mexico
|
+5.1 | 156.5 | 72% | 75–82 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Jackson State
|
+2.9 | 145.5 | 64% | 64–72 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-5.5 | 136.7 | 25% | 67–71 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Grambling
|
+14.8 | 134.3 | 90% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Southern
|
+11.5 | 146.9 | 86% | 75–102 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-2.9 | 137.8 | 41% | 55–63 | ✗ |
Butler
@
St. John's
|
+1.5 | 145.7 | 55% | 61–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.