You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–3 on winners spread MAE 7.8 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb -7.2 148.3 26% 83–57 ✓
Niagara @ VCU +26.1 140.0 91% 58–84 ✓
East Texas A&M @ SE Louisiana +1.0 136.3 50% 70–69 ✗
Wyoming @ South Dakota State -5.6 143.3 29% 87–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Alabama A&M +2.8 135.6 59% 60–68 ✓
McNeese @ Houston Christian -12.1 138.7 14% 78–68 ✓
Incarnate Word @ TCU +18.9 143.8 89% 65–69 ✓
Howard @ Drexel +3.3 136.6 61% 74–66 ✗
Lipscomb @ Duke +23.5 149.2 90% 73–97 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina State -10.1 141.5 18% 78–72 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UMass Lowell +1.5 146.1 59% 82–87 ✓
Dartmouth @ Holy Cross +2.9 137.5 62% 89–64 ✗
Toledo @ Michigan State +20.8 139.9 89% 69–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.