Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–6 on winners spread MAE 7.1 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ Wisconsin +1.2 156.4 54% 91–89 ✗
Gonzaga @ Houston +5.5 142.4 69% 76–81 ✓
UCLA @ Tennessee +4.2 126.7 65% 58–67 ✓
Manhattan @ Incarnate Word -0.3 150.2 49% 85–92 ✗
UConn @ Florida +8.3 152.3 78% 75–77 ✓
Elon @ Army -8.2 146.4 23% 78–83 ✗
Oklahoma State @ SMU +11.3 155.3 85% 85–83 ✗
Baylor @ Duke +10.9 144.4 84% 66–89 ✓
Queens University @ Northern Arizona -2.2 148.6 42% 85–78 ✓
Illinois @ Kentucky -0.3 171.3 49% 75–84 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Alabama +4.9 152.7 67% 66–80 ✓
Illinois State @ Presbyterian -6.0 142.4 29% 78–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ North Texas +4.9 133.1 67% 63–65 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco +9.3 141.2 80% 77–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Maryland +8.3 145.4 78% 71–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.