Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -150 MAN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +7 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -0.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -0.1 (+6.9) | 147.4 (+29.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -0.9 (+7.9) | 145.0 (+32.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.7 (+6.3) | 147.0 (+30.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -0.8 (+7.8) | 146.8 (+30.2) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#241) | -4.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#271) | -0.62 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#262) | -0.90 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#270) | 0.482 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.