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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.2
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colgate
@
Army
|
-3.4 | 161.7 | 38% | 77–75 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Robert Morris
|
+17.5 | 129.1 | 94% | 70–77 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Coppin State
|
-3.8 | 168.1 | 37% | 64–59 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
+5.2 | 135.0 | 68% | 73–82 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Delaware State
|
-7.3 | 138.3 | 25% | 78–65 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
New Mexico
|
+4.9 | 163.1 | 67% | 75–82 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Jackson State
|
+6.0 | 147.5 | 71% | 64–72 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-6.4 | 134.0 | 28% | 67–71 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Grambling
|
+20.1 | 128.4 | 97% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Southern
|
+16.9 | 143.8 | 94% | 75–102 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-2.2 | 136.8 | 42% | 55–63 | ✗ |
Butler
@
St. John's
|
+1.5 | 147.6 | 55% | 61–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.