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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern State
@
Texas A&M
|
+10.2 | 150.4 | 82% | 52–64 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Notre Dame
|
+2.6 | 127.5 | 59% | 43–59 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Texas
|
+26.8 | 135.7 | 99% | 72–97 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Marquette
|
+10.7 | 142.6 | 83% | 69–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Texas Tech
|
+27.5 | 150.0 | 99% | 71–110 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Columbia
|
+1.3 | 133.6 | 55% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Tennessee
@
Ole Miss
|
-11.4 | 120.5 | 15% | 63–59 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
TCU
|
+22.9 | 150.0 | 98% | 57–103 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Monmouth
|
-17.0 | 137.3 | 6% | 68–55 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Virginia
|
+25.4 | 132.4 | 99% | 46–66 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
UConn
|
+21.0 | 140.4 | 97% | 66–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.