← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–6 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue
@
Rutgers
|
-18.4 | 139.9 | 5% | 68–70 | ✗ |
Nicholls
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-16.5 | 141.0 | 7% | 95–80 | ✓ |
Detroit Mercy
@
Kent State
|
+3.5 | 138.0 | 63% | 52–69 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
William & Mary
|
+3.2 | 128.1 | 62% | 54–53 | ✗ |
Long Island University
@
Fordham
|
+12.9 | 144.3 | 88% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Pittsburgh
|
-2.4 | 138.9 | 41% | 68–71 | ✗ |
Monmouth
@
St. John's
|
-0.8 | 155.3 | 47% | 83–88 | ✗ |
Merrimack
@
Gonzaga
|
+28.5 | 129.1 | 100% | 55–80 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
-0.4 | 153.3 | 48% | 53–73 | ✗ |
Denver
@
New Mexico
|
+8.7 | 157.3 | 79% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
Arizona State
|
-1.0 | 127.7 | 47% | 62–67 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.