← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California
@
Stanford
|
+12.7 | 132.9 | 88% | 70–76 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Stony Brook
|
-2.7 | 131.6 | 40% | 60–48 | ✓ |
Quinnipiac
@
Fairfield
|
-6.0 | 131.7 | 29% | 70–77 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-8.6 | 155.3 | 22% | 78–74 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Hampton
|
-0.8 | 138.7 | 47% | 71–76 | ✗ |
Gardner-Webb
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
-7.1 | 146.1 | 26% | 69–77 | ✗ |
UNC Greensboro
@
Furman
|
+4.5 | 143.9 | 66% | 49–68 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Long Island University
|
+6.1 | 158.5 | 71% | 84–96 | ✓ |
SMU
@
East Carolina
|
-4.9 | 141.0 | 33% | 71–56 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Florida A&M
|
+1.0 | 143.0 | 53% | 50–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.