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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.0
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa
@
Purdue
|
+11.4 | 160.6 | 84% | 68–87 | ✓ |
San José State
@
North Dakota State
|
+0.5 | 135.9 | 52% | 78–83 | ✓ |
Furman
@
Arkansas
|
+8.0 | 157.9 | 82% | 83–97 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Alabama
|
+25.1 | 159.2 | 91% | 65–89 | ✓ |
Cal Poly
@
Oregon State
|
+6.6 | 142.4 | 81% | 63–70 | ✓ |
Central Connecticut
@
Boston College
|
+12.6 | 142.1 | 86% | 68–82 | ✓ |
Le Moyne
@
Army
|
+0.1 | 133.0 | 51% | 51–68 | ✓ |
Florida Atlantic
@
Illinois
|
-2.0 | 148.8 | 37% | 89–98 | ✗ |
George Mason
@
Tennessee
|
+11.6 | 141.1 | 84% | 66–87 | ✓ |
Queens University
@
Winthrop
|
+7.6 | 149.9 | 80% | 82–88 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Xavier
|
+10.7 | 144.8 | 79% | 87–80 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.