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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 15.5
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Valley State
@
LSU
|
+25.0 | 139.8 | 91% | 45–110 | ✓ |
Western Kentucky
@
Michigan
|
+15.7 | 153.8 | 88% | 64–112 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
North Carolina
|
+22.9 | 153.5 | 90% | 81–97 | ✓ |
Utah Tech
@
Florida International
|
+5.3 | 141.1 | 67% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Princeton
|
+6.5 | 153.0 | 76% | 75–76 | ✓ |
Western Michigan
@
Michigan State
|
+22.7 | 147.0 | 91% | 62–80 | ✓ |
Siena
@
Cornell
|
+10.4 | 144.2 | 83% | 83–77 | ✗ |
Columbia
@
Rutgers
|
+6.0 | 154.3 | 67% | 64–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Auburn
|
+25.1 | 153.6 | 91% | 58–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.