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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Radford
@
George Washington
|
+2.4 | 131.5 | 60% | 58–67 | ✓ |
Cleveland State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+13.1 | 139.8 | 87% | 93–98 | ✓ |
Rhode Island
@
Milwaukee
|
-8.2 | 130.9 | 18% | 82–58 | ✓ |
Sacred Heart
@
Columbia
|
-4.7 | 144.0 | 30% | 79–69 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Boston College
|
+16.1 | 131.7 | 89% | 61–57 | ✗ |
Indiana State
@
North Dakota State
|
+1.6 | 142.3 | 58% | 70–77 | ✓ |
Cal Poly
@
Portland
|
+5.8 | 132.8 | 71% | 77–78 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Louisville
|
+15.4 | 138.1 | 87% | 60–86 | ✓ |
Central Connecticut
@
Stony Brook
|
+13.1 | 143.0 | 87% | 67–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.