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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California Baptist
@
UC Riverside
|
+4.4 | 136.3 | 67% | 54–70 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Stanford
|
+0.5 | 141.3 | 60% | 69–72 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Iona
|
+5.8 | 146.2 | 71% | 77–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Pittsburgh
|
-5.6 | 134.4 | 23% | 56–52 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Seton Hall
|
+15.5 | 138.2 | 88% | 63–77 | ✓ |
UC San Diego
@
Seattle U
|
+1.8 | 141.1 | 55% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Chicago State
|
+4.1 | 129.7 | 63% | 70–59 | ✗ |
UMBC
@
Princeton
|
+6.3 | 157.4 | 77% | 77–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.