← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–5 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Norfolk State
@
Gonzaga
|
+16.6 | 152.1 | 87% | 55–98 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
BYU
|
+2.3 | 145.1 | 62% | 73–62 | ✗ |
VCU
@
Oregon
|
+2.4 | 137.5 | 61% | 0–1 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Texas
|
+5.2 | 136.1 | 69% | 53–52 | ✗ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Illinois
|
+4.6 | 135.2 | 68% | 71–58 | ✗ |
Wisconsin
@
Baylor
|
+7.0 | 143.2 | 75% | 63–76 | ✓ |
Syracuse
@
West Virginia
|
+2.0 | 151.6 | 59% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Texas Tech
@
Arkansas
|
+1.4 | 142.9 | 56% | 66–68 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Houston
|
+7.4 | 133.6 | 76% | 60–63 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Florida
|
+7.7 | 149.6 | 79% | 81–78 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.