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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.9
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC San Diego
@
UC Riverside
|
+12.5 | 132.1 | 87% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Northwestern
|
+0.6 | 139.6 | 50% | 64–56 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
Washington
|
+0.2 | 140.9 | 52% | 77–62 | ✗ |
UNLV
@
Nevada
|
+2.6 | 142.6 | 65% | 60–89 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Western Carolina
|
+3.2 | 160.2 | 62% | 75–76 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Louisville
|
+3.6 | 138.9 | 65% | 58–74 | ✓ |
Sacramento State
@
Eastern Washington
|
+6.5 | 143.8 | 78% | 79–94 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+0.9 | 143.7 | 54% | 74–59 | ✗ |
Bradley
@
Indiana State
|
+3.8 | 131.5 | 70% | 55–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.