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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.9
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC San Diego
@
UC Riverside
|
+14.5 | 132.7 | 88% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Northwestern
|
-1.0 | 138.1 | 45% | 64–56 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
Washington
|
+0.4 | 141.1 | 51% | 77–62 | ✗ |
UNLV
@
Nevada
|
+2.4 | 142.2 | 63% | 60–89 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Western Carolina
|
+2.4 | 157.8 | 71% | 75–76 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Louisville
|
+3.6 | 139.5 | 69% | 58–74 | ✓ |
Sacramento State
@
Eastern Washington
|
+6.5 | 144.6 | 76% | 79–94 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+0.1 | 144.8 | 52% | 74–59 | ✗ |
Bradley
@
Indiana State
|
+3.2 | 130.5 | 72% | 55–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.