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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Southern Indiana @ Michigan State	+9.4	146.5	80%	51–74	—
Cal State Bakersfield @ USC	+26.8	147.9	99%	59–85	—
New Mexico @ Saint Mary's	—	—	—	58–72	—
Pepperdine @ UC Davis	—	—	—	78–79	—
Tarleton State @ Florida International	+21.4	141.1	97%	82–65	—
Northwestern State @ Tulane	—	—	—	71–88	—
American University @ William & Mary	—	—	—	56–75	—
East Tennessee State @ Elon	—	—	—	76–79	—
Army @ Stonehill	+20.8	135.1	97%	44–57	—
North Florida @ Charleston Southern	—	—	—	81–70	—
South Carolina State @ South Florida	—	—	—	52–96	—
Fairfield @ Rhode Island	+15.8	151.9	92%	80–93	—
James Madison @ Kent State	—	—	—	113–108	—
Howard @ Georgia Tech	+22.4	154.4	98%	85–88	—
Utah Valley @ Sam Houston	—	—	—	79–73	—
Western Kentucky @ Wichita State	—	—	—	61–71	—
Mercer @ Chicago State	—	—	—	66–61	—
Stephen F. Austin @ Middle Tennessee	—	—	—	62–67	—
Towson @ Coppin State	+9.4	144.2	80%	70–49	—
Alabama A&M @ North Alabama	—	—	—	67–83	—
Lamar @ SMU	—	—	—	67–78	—
Omaha @ TCU	—	—	—	60–82	—
Lindenwood @ Iowa State	+30.7	137.0	100%	47–102	—
Florida A&M @ Nebraska	+33.9	147.2	100%	54–81	—
Cal Poly @ Denver	—	—	—	76–97	—
Cal State Northridge @ Idaho	+11.6	151.9	85%	76–73	—
Portland State @ UC Santa Barbara	—	—	—	82–76	—
Saint Francis @ San Francisco	—	—	—	52–84	—
Northern Kentucky @ Washington	+22.6	141.5	98%	67–75	—

Live predictions from the latest rating snapshots — evaluation rows are recorded once games go final. Spread is the predicted home margin. Not betting advice.