Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | STO +110 ARMY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +13 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | STO -19.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -5.3 (+7.7) | 134.8 (-33.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -6.8 (+6.2) | 132.8 (-31.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | STO 82 – 77 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 0-19 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#264) | -11.2 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#233) | -2.12 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#242) | -3.07 (#273) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 21.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 15.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 25.0% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 27.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.3% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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