Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -100000 USI +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +23 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -8.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -1.7 (+21.3) | 141.8 (-16.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -2.1 (+20.9) | 142.6 (-17.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#246) | 1.9 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#266) | -0.29 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#262) | -0.39 (#182) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 5.0% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.8% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 7.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.