Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -20000 FAMU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -33.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -21.1 (+5.9) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -27.9 (-0.9) | 143.8 (-8.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#54) | -11.1 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#72) | -0.29 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#51) | -0.47 (#246) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 21.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 36.7% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 14.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.4% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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