Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -1600 NKU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -22.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -16.1 (-8.1) | 145.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -19.6 (-11.6) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#45) | 0.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#113) | -0.29 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#49) | -0.41 (#193) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 62.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 27.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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