Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | GT -480 HOW +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | GT -20.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -11.2 (-8.2) | 150.5 (+22.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -13.0 (-10.0) | 149.2 (+23.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#113) | -1.9 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#51) | 0.29 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#67) | 0.39 (#92) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 56.2% |
| 3PT% | 44.8% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 65.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 60.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 93.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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