Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | URI -550 FAIR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | URI -15.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -13.4 (-0.4) | 147.4 (+25.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -9.8 (+3.2) | 147.6 (+25.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | URI 96 – 58 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#178) | -0.5 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#86) | -0.29 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#100) | -0.41 (#198) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.1% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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