Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -10000 LIN +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +55 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -30.2 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -19.7 (+35.3) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -26.7 (+28.3) | 136.1 (+12.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 18-0 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#25) | -4.8 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#57) | -0.29 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#37) | -0.44 (#224) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 32.4% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 18.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 4.00 | 0.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 34.6% |
| TOV% | 6.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 7.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.0% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 82.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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