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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–3 on winners
spread MAE 11.5
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin
@
Purdue
|
+12.9 | 143.9 | 88% | 74–69 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+0.4 | 124.5 | 52% | 59–66 | ✓ |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Sam Houston
|
+4.1 | 148.1 | 64% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Arizona
|
+35.1 | 151.1 | 100% | 79–95 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Southern
|
+0.6 | 135.4 | 52% | 50–63 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
+1.4 | 130.3 | 55% | 70–50 | ✗ |
Maryland
@
Iowa
|
+15.5 | 156.2 | 92% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Akron
|
+1.0 | 126.3 | 54% | 69–63 | ✗ |
Auburn
@
South Carolina
|
-10.5 | 139.7 | 17% | 81–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.