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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–5 on winners
spread MAE 12.0
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+13.5 | 157.1 | 86% | 80–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.5 | 161.2 | 87% | 57–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+25.6 | 162.7 | 91% | 85–94 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.0 | 151.5 | 18% | 90–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.3 | 143.2 | 86% | 64–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 137.6 | 69% | 78–69 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 142.9 | 52% | 97–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.5 | 145.3 | 89% | 65–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.0 | 129.5 | 29% | 54–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.8 | 157.3 | 81% | 86–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+20.4 | 161.7 | 90% | 63–110 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.3 | 158.5 | 85% | 77–72 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.4 | 144.6 | 34% | 67–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.8 | 144.6 | 90% | 79–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.7 | 146.2 | 33% | 102–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.1 | 140.3 | 37% | 54–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.2 | 150.7 | 87% | 58–73 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.