Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -170 HARV +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -7.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -4.3 (-13.3) | 137.6 (+9.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -5.4 (-14.4) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -6.3 (-15.3) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -6.2 (-15.2) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | HARV 78 – 67 COLG |
| Nov 22, 2023 | HARV 76 – 70 COLG |
| Nov 25, 2021 | HARV 89 – 84 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#161) | -2.3 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#179) | -0.97 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#160) | -1.46 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#110) | 0.463 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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