Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +9 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -31.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -25.6 (-16.6) | 162.7 (+16.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -25.2 (-16.2) | 160.4 (+18.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -30.5 (-21.5) | 159.2 (+19.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -29.8 (-20.8) | 159.8 (+19.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-8 | 3-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 85.4 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#49) | -15.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#57) | -4.16 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#73) | -5.91 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#49) | 0.316 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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