Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BC -1000 LEM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BC -11.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -11.0 (-3.0) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BC -10.3 (-2.3) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BC -10.0 (-2.0) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -10.2 (-2.2) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#189) | -8.5 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#240) | -1.56 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#197) | -2.58 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#266) | 0.449 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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