The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–2 on winners spread MAE 12.3 10 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee +3.8 150.3 65% 109–103 ✗
Saint Louis @ Arkansas State +7.3 152.5 75% 78–103 ✓
Wichita State @ Oklahoma State +5.6 145.6 71% 79–89 ✓
North Carolina @ San Diego State -4.0 138.3 41% 95–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ Santa Clara +14.0 156.9 87% 62–101 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Stanford +5.9 147.0 71% 70–87 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ American University -0.2 129.8 53% 83–72 ✓
UAB @ Saint Joseph's +5.5 152.9 71% 69–65 ✗
Samford @ George Mason +8.2 143.3 78% 69–86 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Dayton +3.9 147.8 70% 79–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.