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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–3 on winners
spread MAE 11.3
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Bonaventure
@
Oklahoma
|
+8.3 | 135.4 | 78% | 70–68 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Auburn
|
+6.9 | 149.4 | 77% | 79–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Purdue
|
+2.9 | 137.3 | 62% | 71–81 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Arizona
|
+8.7 | 145.0 | 79% | 80–85 | ✓ |
Drake
@
UNC Wilmington
|
-5.1 | 138.5 | 30% | 75–76 | ✗ |
Northern Colorado
@
UNC Asheville
|
-0.0 | 152.7 | 49% | 87–84 | ✓ |
Middle Tennessee
@
Boston University
|
-5.1 | 142.1 | 28% | 76–46 | ✓ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+5.8 | 146.9 | 72% | 68–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.