Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -550 TCU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -8.7 (-3.7) | 145.0 (+20.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -7.3 (-2.3) | 144.0 (+21.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.2 (-1.2) | 144.7 (+20.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -8.4 (-3.4) | 144.7 (+20.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | ARIZ 86 – 73 TCU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ARIZ 90 – 81 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 21.2 (#2) | 11.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#1) | 2.46 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.57 (#2) | 3.02 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#2) | 0.549 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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