← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.3
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina Upstate
@
South Alabama
|
+10.5 | 143.3 | 83% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Abilene Christian
|
+0.4 | 140.2 | 53% | 86–91 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Northern Colorado
|
-2.2 | 149.6 | 38% | 80–64 | ✓ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Virginia
|
+3.1 | 126.6 | 62% | 52–51 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.