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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin
@
Purdue
|
+11.9 | 148.6 | 86% | 74–69 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+1.4 | 131.2 | 53% | 59–66 | ✓ |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Sam Houston
|
+2.2 | 144.4 | 61% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Arizona
|
+21.6 | 158.7 | 91% | 79–95 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Southern
|
+0.5 | 137.4 | 56% | 50–63 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-0.8 | 131.5 | 44% | 70–50 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Iowa
|
+11.9 | 153.7 | 86% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Akron
|
+0.5 | 133.5 | 49% | 69–63 | ✗ |
Auburn
@
South Carolina
|
-9.7 | 141.7 | 21% | 81–66 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.