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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+11.1 | 150.1 | 82% | 93–89 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.2 | 150.6 | 49% | 89–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.3 | 130.4 | 61% | 73–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.0 | 142.2 | 74% | 58–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.2 | 145.9 | 91% | 74–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 146.6 | 62% | 61–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.0 | 146.6 | 29% | 67–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.2 | 152.7 | 75% | 82–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.7 | 145.5 | 66% | 70–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.9 | 150.7 | 86% | 72–94 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.3 | 155.3 | 17% | 84–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.2 | 144.4 | 81% | 56–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.6 | 150.6 | 87% | 76–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 127.6 | 61% | 65–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.